Implosion StockBricks & MortarCalifornia Daylotain'CanadaMagalimoto ndi MagalimotoMalo OgulitsaMakampani ndi MisikaOgulaNgongoleBuluuMphamvuZovuta zaku EuropeFederal ReserveHousing Bubble 2Kukwera kwamitengo ndi kutsika kwamitengoNtchitoZogulitsaMayendedwe
Izi zinachitika kwa miyezi ingapo: Mitengo ya magalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito inakwera kwambiri kuchoka pa yokongola kupita pa yokongola, ndipo pamene ndimaganiza kuti mitengo siingakwerenso, inakweranso.
Malinga ndi deta ya magalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito, mitengo yogulitsa magalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito ku US idakwera ndi 8.3% mu Epulo poyerekeza ndi Marichi, kukwera ndi 20% chaka chino, 54% kuyambira Epulo 2020 ndi 40% kuyambira Epulo 2019. Chizindikiro cha mtengo chomwe chafalitsidwa lero ndi kampani yogulitsa magalimoto Manheim, kampani yothandizidwa ndi Cox Automotive. Chilichonse chikusokonekera pamsika wamagalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito:
M'miyezi 13 mpaka Seputembala 2009, kukwera kwa mitengo kunasokonekera chifukwa cha kukwera kwakukulu kwa mbiri yakale, kuphatikizapo njira yopezera ndalama zomwe sizinali zodalirika zomwe zinachotsa mbadwo wonse wa magalimoto akale omwe anali okonzeka kugwiritsidwa ntchito pamsika.
Ogulitsa magalimoto omwe amagula pamalonda kuti abwezeretse katundu wawo amakhala ndi katundu wochepa ndipo ogulitsa ena ambiri akugulitsa magalimoto omwewo. Choncho anatukwana mkati mwawo, anakweza mitengo kuti apeze katundu, ndipo ankayembekezera kuti angapereke mitengo yodabwitsa komanso phindu lalikulu kwa ogula. Mitengo yogulitsa nthawi zambiri imatsika mitengo ya katundu ndi milungu isanu ndi umodzi.
Ogula ali okonzeka kulipira mitengo yotsika kwambiri m'malo mochita sitalaka: Cox Automotive ikuyerekeza kuti kugulitsa magalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito m'masitolo kunakwera kufika pa 22.4 miliyoni pachaka mu Epulo. Stemis adapereka ndalama zonse zoyambira.
Malingaliro anga akuti kuphulika kotereku sikungapitirire. Ngati ogula akayikayika pamitengo iyi ndikuyitanitsa sitereki ya ogula, ndiye kuti pambuyo poti chilimbikitsocho chatha ndipo mitengo yodabwitsayi yachepa, ogulitsa amagula chinthu chokwera mtengo kwambiri - chikole cholipirira mapulani awo - ngati zimenezo zingayambitse chisokonezo pochita izi.
Malinga ndi Cox Automotive, katundu wogulitsidwa kumapeto kwa Epulo adatsika kufika pa masiku 17 ogulitsa, pomwe masiku 23 otumizira ndi abwinobwino. Magalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito m'masitolo ndi masiku 33, poyerekeza ndi masiku 44 wamba.
Mbeu za mavuto okhudzana ndi kupezeka kwa magalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito zidabzalidwa chaka chatha pamene bizinesi yobwereka magalimoto idagwa ndipo makampani obwereka magalimoto adachepetsa magalimoto awo pogulitsa magalimoto omwe alipo ndikuchepetsa maoda a magalimoto atsopano. Izi zidaletsa kuchuluka kwa magalimoto atsopano m'magalimoto obwereka chaka chatha komanso chaka chino.
Koma tsopano bizinesi yobwereka ikuyambiranso kuyenda chifukwa anthu akuyambanso kuyenda ndipo magalimoto obwereka akuchepa.
Kusowa kwa zinthu zogulira zinthu n'kovuta kubweza tsopano, chifukwa kusowa kwa magalimoto a semiconductor kunakhudza opanga magalimoto koyambirira kwa chaka chino. Anatseka mafakitale ndikuletsa kusintha kwa magalimoto; anaika patsogolo kupanga magalimoto apamwamba kuti abwezere kutayika kwa chiwerengero. Ford yalengeza kuti kupanga kwake padziko lonse lapansi kungachepe ndi 50% mu kotala lachiwiri. Pansi pa izi, kugulitsa magalimoto otsika mtengo kunayimitsidwa. Magalimoto obwereka magalimoto anali ovuta kupeza magalimoto atsopano.
Avis inachenjeza mu lipoti lake la kotala la 10-Q ku SEC pa Meyi 4 kuti silingapeze magalimoto okwanira magalimoto ake:
"Tikukumana ndi zoopsa zokhudzana ndi ogulitsa magalimoto, kuphatikizapo kusowa kwa magetsi a semiconductor padziko lonse lapansi."
"Pazifukwa zosiyanasiyana, kuphatikizapo kutsekedwa kwa malo opangira zinthu kapena pazifukwa zina, takumana ndi kuchedwa kwina kolandira magalimoto atsopano kuchokera kwa opanga magalimoto."
"Makamaka, kusowa kwa magalimoto padziko lonse lapansi kukukhudza kwambiri mafakitale ambiri, makamaka makampani opanga magalimoto, zomwe zikukhudza opanga magalimoto angapo omwe amatipatsa magalimoto."
"Mwachitsanzo, mafakitale ena a magalimoto ku North America ndi mayiko ena ayimitsa kapena kuchepetsa kupanga magalimoto chifukwa cha kusowa kwa ma semiconductor omwe amagwiritsidwa ntchito popanga magalimoto."
"Chifukwa chake, kusowa kwa zinthu zamagetsi zamagetsi kwakhudza, ndipo kukuyembekezeka kupitilizabe, kutumiza magalimoto atsopano, zomwe zingapangitse kuti zikhale zovuta kukwaniritsa zomwe ogula akufuna."
Makampani ena obwereka magalimoto akukumana ndi vuto lomweli: opanga magalimoto omwe akukumana ndi mavuto aakulu chifukwa cha kusowa kwa ma semiconductors akuwonjezera mavuto awo.
M'miyezi inayi yoyambirira ya 2021, malonda a zombo adatsika ndi 48% kuchokera pa 693,000 mu 2019 kufika pa 360,000 chaka chino, poyerekeza ndi nthawi yomweyi mu 2019, malinga ndi Car Rental News.
Magalimoto obwereka tsopano asunga magalimoto awo kwa nthawi yayitali ndipo amawagulitsa pamalonda okwera kwambiri. Malinga ndi Cox, mtunda wapakati wa magalimoto obwereka omwe ali pachiwopsezo omwe agulitsidwa pamalonda m'zaka zaposachedwa (magalimoto omwe sanali mu pulogalamu yogulira galimoto ya wopanga) nthawi zambiri amakhala pakati pa makilomita 40,000 ndi 50,000. Koma mu Marichi, mtunda wapakati wa makilomita 12,000 unakwera makilomita 67,000 kuchokera pa mtunda wautali womwe unalipo kale mu February. Mu Epulo, mtunda wapakati wa makilomita unakwera kufika pa 82800!
Ngakhale kuti mtunda wa magalimoto ukukwera kwambiri, mtengo wapakati wa magalimoto obwereka amenewa - umenewo ndi wodabwitsa kwambiri - unakwera ndi 32% chaka chilichonse.
Makampani obwereka magalimoto ndiwo ogula kwambiri pamalonda, zomwe zikuwonjezera kukwera mtengo kwa mitengo. Nthawi zonse amagula magalimoto ena pamalonda kuti akwaniritse zosowa za anthu am'deralo, izi si zachilendo. Koma tsopano zikuchitika pamlingo waukulu.
"Gulu lathu logula magalimoto likugwira ntchito mwakhama kuti lipeze magalimoto ambiri, atsopano komanso otsika, omwe amagwiritsidwa ntchito m'njira zonse kuti akwaniritse kufunikira kwakukulu," adatero Bloomberg m'mawu ake.
Mneneri wa Hertz adauza Bloomberg kuti kampaniyo "imagula magalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito osavuta kugwiritsa ntchito kuchokera kuzinthu zosiyanasiyana, kuphatikizapo malonda ogulitsa, malonda apaintaneti, ogulitsa ndi mapulogalamu obwereketsa magalimoto."
Kumbali ya makasitomala awo, magalimoto obwereka amalima udzu dzuwa likatuluka ndipo amakweza lendi pamsika ngati n'kotheka—ndipo izi zimawonjezera mafuta ku kukwera kwa mitengo, mwaganiza.
Sangalalani ndi kuwerenga WOLF STREET ndipo mukufuna kuithandiza? Gwiritsani ntchito choletsa malonda - ndikumvetsa bwino chifukwa chake - koma mukufuna kuthandizira tsamba lino? Mutha kupereka. Ndikuyamikira kwambiri. Dinani makapu a tiyi ndi mowa kuti mudziwe momwe mungachitire:
Kungofuna kukuwonetsani momwe zimakhalira zopusa kuti ndili ndi Infiniti ya zaka 20 yomwe sinatuluke m'garaja kwa zaka zambiri ndipo akubawo adagwidwa ndi GPS. Omwe adakhudzidwawo akuti kuba magalimoto kudawirikiza kawiri mu 2021.
Ndikutsimikiza kuti ngati dziko la US litakweza malire a zaka kufika pa 30, padzakhala magalimoto ambiri ogwiritsidwa ntchito omwe akonzeka kutumizidwa kunja.
Ndili ndi zaka 65 ndipo makolo anga akadali ndi moyo. Ali ndi galimoto yotsika mtengo komanso galimoto yotsika mtengo. Zonsezi zidzagulitsidwa kapena kugulitsidwa. Izi zimachitika kawirikawiri pamene ana aang'ono akukalamba.
Zimatanthauza "wogulitsa", monga mu Magalimoto Ogwiritsidwa Ntchito a Joe, osati wogulitsa wa Ford amene munagwira naye ntchito, chifukwa akuoneka kuti akusiya zinthu zabwino kwambiri kumeneko kuti zigulitsidwenso, sichoncho? Mwina wogulitsa/wogulitsa SHIP ndi mawu osavuta omwe ndikusowa pano? Kodi ogulitsa ena ayeneranso kugula ndalama zotsalazo pamsika? Ndikuganiza kuti ili ndiye vuto langa lenileni (nthawi ino ndawerenga nkhaniyi kawiri). Komanso kumayambiriro kwa zaka za m'ma 80, ndinapita ku malonda ndi munthu wina wokhala ndi "chilolezo cholowa/kugula" ndi abambo ake. Anagula kutsogolo ndi kumbuyo kwa kalulu wathunthu ndipo anaphika pamodzi ngati imodzi mwa ntchito zawo. M'munda waukulu wamatope mozungulira Sears Point IIRC. (Anagula ndikukonza Honda 500 4 yomwe inawonongeka). Ndiye funso lachiwiri ndilakuti, kodi malonda omwe mukunenawa sakuwoneka, kapena kodi opereka matikiti akuyendayenda m'misewu? Magalimoto ambiri ali bwino, ndi fumbi lokha.
Ogulitsa omwe amagula pamsika ndi ogulitsa odziyimira pawokha kapena ogulitsa omwe ali ndi chilolezo, kapena wina aliyense amene wavomerezedwa kugula pamsika.
Si zaka 30, koma zaka 25. Mayiko ena ali ndi zofunikira zina zosiyanasiyana. Nazi zina mwa izi: https://usacustomclearance.com/process/guide-to-importing-cars-to-usa/
Zikomo Mike Tsamba ili ndi labwino kwambiri kuwonjezera pa zinthu zomwe ndikupeza. Komabe, ndalandira yankho la CA lomwe ndimayembekezera.
Ku Washington, chiwerengero cha kuba magalimoto chakwera kwambiri. Chilengezo pafupi ndi basi yapansi panthaka chimati: “Mukadumpha, amalumpha mmwamba” (chinachake chonga chimenecho). Magalimoto si otchuka kwambiri, ndi magalimoto wamba. Ndinawerenga nkhani mu NPR (ndinawerenga NPR) yomwe inati ngakhale makina osinthira magalimoto amatha kupanga ndalama pa magalimoto akale. Chinthu choopsa kwambiri chinali chakuti ndinamangidwa ndi nkhope ya mwana ngati ya wachinyamata. Mwina kungoyenda ulendo kapena kukonzekera kutumiza ku Mexico City. Ndani akudziwa bwana?
Cobalt, MAKATI akhala akubedwa ku DC kwa zaka zambiri, malo osangalatsa kwambiri mumzinda waukulu wa dziko lathu. Kodi mwaona kusintha kwa mitengo ya platinamu ndi palladium m'zaka ziwiri zapitazi? Ndikanakonda nditagula zina!
Kuba kwa DWY CAT kwakhala pafupifupi konsekonse kwakhala mlandu wa "malonda". Amapikisana kuti aone amene angawathetse mwachangu kwambiri pogwiritsa ntchito chopukusira ngodya chogwiritsa ntchito batri ndi mkono wautali. Ganizirani "katswiri" wapano m'masekondi pafupifupi 10 kuyambira pachiyambi mpaka kumapeto!
Amphaka amakono ndi "atatu". Ankagwiritsa ntchito rhodium (mwina cerium m'ma 90) komanso platinamu ndi palladium kuti achite zinthu zovuta kwambiri. Ndikuganiza kuti amphaka obedwawo ankangosungunuka kuti apeze ndalama, chifukwa cha kapangidwe kawo ka uchi wa ceramic. Monga zida zosungira, ndi ofunika kwambiri. Zatsopano zimadula kuyambira madola 1000 mpaka 2000 ndi zina zambiri. Mwachionekere, magalimoto atsopano akhoza kubedwa m'magalimoto abwino, ndipo ma hybrids amakondedwanso chifukwa amadutsa mafuta ochepa kwambiri kudzera mwa iwo.
Izi ndi ndalama zomwe anthu amawononga chifukwa cha kusalingana kwakukulu kwa ndalama zomwe amapeza komanso chuma chake chonse ... yembekezerani zambiri pamene zinthu zikuipiraipira. "Misonkho ya anthu" yomwe imapitirira muyeso. Mwatsoka, anthu osauka kwambiri, omwe sangakhale ndi nyumba kapena nyumba yokhala ndi garaja, amavutika kwambiri, zomwe zimawonjezera vutoli.
Ma catalyst m'dera langa akupitirizabe kuba. Aliyense amene ali ndi galimoto ngati yanga (Honda CRV 2000) ayenera kupanga bajeti yogulira galimoto yatsopano.
Sabata yatha, mnzanga wina anabedwa galimoto yotayika yomwe inali fano pa malo ake kwa zaka pafupifupi 15. Mpaka pano sinali yothandiza.
Izi n’zosadabwitsa, mnansi wanga anabedwa galimoto yake ya F150 ya zaka 15 mwezi wapitawo ali paulendo wopita ku Home Depot. Kukwera mtengo kwa magalimoto ogwiritsidwa ntchito kwapangitsa kuti akuba olimba mtima kwambiri apezeke.
Kuphatikiza apo, n'zosatheka kuti munthu wosadziwa ntchito aba galimoto ya Hyundai. Ndikuganiza kuti ichi ndichifukwa chake galimoto ya zaka 15 yokhala ndi mtengo wokwera kwambiri ndiyo cholinga chachikulu.
Inde, masana. Choseketsa n'chakuti apolisi adatenga lipotilo ndikuuza anansi anga kuti ngakhale atawagwira, wakubayo adzalandira chindapusa ndipo ndicho chokhacho.
Zikuoneka ngati nthabwala, koma sichoncho. Tangoganizirani ngati mutakhala kontrakitala wongoyamba ntchito ndipo muli ndi galimoto yakale ndipo mwadzidzidzi yabedwa ndipo ndalama zanu zopezera ntchito zatha.
Chipangizo chabwino kwambiri choletsa kuba pa galimoto yakale ndi chosinthira ndi mawaya olumikizira pa chivundikiro cha wogawa (tikulankhula za magalimoto akale apa). Sichiyamba. Ngati mukweza hood, imawoneka "yabwinobwino". Inde, sizosangalatsa. Koma imagwira ntchito.
Slim Jim ndi wofala kwambiri, wosinthasintha komanso wosavuta kuphunzira. Komanso, ndinaba zida za batri kuchokera ku Nissan ya '92 (yopanda mawindo am'mbali, inali yopepuka kwambiri) ndikuphwanya mawindo. Mu garaja pansi pa nyumba yanga komanso m'nyumba yayikulu. Mwina anaikapo thumba lalikulu logona kuti achepetse phokoso? Mwina ndikukhala woyenerera kukhala m'nyumba. Anthu osowa mtendere amachita zinthu zovuta, ndipo ndikutsimikiza kuti "akatswiri" ambiri akufuna kuyamba maloto awo aku America ndipo amangofunika kusunga ndalama. Mzimu wamalonda…
Sindikumvetsabe momwe kusowa kwa kukwezedwa kwa malipiro kuti kulimbikitse chuma kungayambitsire kukwera kwa mitengo. Zonse ndi zokhudza kupezeka ndi kufunikira, zomwe ndi zachilendo kwakanthawi.
Ine ndekha, ndimaona izi ngati msampha waukulu wa ng'ombe. Gulu la anthu likuthamangira ku inflation/reflation/new cycle isanafike kumapeto kwa kutsika kwachuma koopsa… ngongole zonse za boma zitha kusindikizidwa ngati “thandizo”… komanso banki yayikulu yogula zinthu pamitengo yotsika kwambiri.
Global Crossing inali kampani yapadziko lonse yopereka chithandizo cha mafoni yomwe inasowa ndalama zaka 20 zapitazo ndipo inagulidwa ndi mabungwe wamba. Kulumikizana kwadzidzidzi komanso kotsika mtengo kwambiri kwa mafoni ku India kunayambitsa makampani opanga mafoni ku India. Ndipo kuchepa kwa malo operekera mafoni ku America.
Mabizinesi "achilengedwe" amawononga amalonda osadziwa zambiri, amalemeretsa tizilombo toyambitsa matenda, ndikuchepetsa ntchito. Koma ndi mtundu wina wa lamulo lazachuma kuti olemera amadya zina zonse monga mphamvu yokoka, kotero zonse ndi zabwino.
Nthawi yotumizira: Ogasiti-29-2022